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Climate

Low river levels make shipping uncertain

Rijkswaterstaat warns of low water levels on the Rhine and IJssel, meaning inland vessels can carry less freight.

There is news on this story (Friday, 2 October 2026, 10:01): Copernicus: Western Europe records hottest summer ever

Rijkswaterstaat
Rijkswaterstaat · Photo: Apdency / Wikimedia Commons, CC0

Water levels on the Rhine and IJssel are lower than usual for this time of year on Thursday. Rijkswaterstaat expects the situation to continue for the next two days, while skippers must decide for themselves how much cargo can be transported safely.

In its water report, Rijkswaterstaat has issued a warning about low water levels on the Rhine and IJssel. Lower-than-usual levels are again expected there over the next 24 to 48 hours. Discharge from the Meuse is still normal on Thursday, but according to the forecast it may also fall below the usual level afterwards.

A low river level reduces the depth of the shipping channel. Inland vessels must therefore be loaded less heavily to prevent them from hitting the bottom. Skippers use the lowest surveyed depth, water levels and discharge to determine what cargo is possible on each stretch.

This means the consequences for freight transport vary. A vessel may sometimes continue sailing, but with less cargo, meaning more vessels are needed to transport the same quantity of goods. On busy stretches, waiting times, restrictions on passing and route changes may also arise.

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The low water levels are part of a prolonged drought. Rijkswaterstaat’s drought monitor reported at the end of September that the Rhine and Meuse had very low discharges, while groundwater levels in parts of the Netherlands were still low. Rain in the Netherlands also does not provide immediate relief when inflow from the Rhine basin remains limited.

Low water can also have consequences for industry and energy companies. River water is used for transport and, at some locations, for cooling. When water is warm and scarce, discharges and water use may be subject to additional conditions, although this varies by company and permit.

The current warning is based on a measurement and a short-term forecast and does not predict that shipping will come to a standstill. Over the longer term, water managers expect extremes to occur more often: periods with very little water alongside periods of high water. This calls both for adapting vessels and logistics planning and for decisions about the allocation of scarce fresh water.

One story, several perspectives
What is established
  • The Rhine and IJssel are lower than usual for this time of year.
  • Low water levels limit the amount of freight vessels can carry.
  • Water managers expect both dry and wet extremes to occur more often.
Centre

Arguments Decisions should be based on current measurements and clear priorities. Drinking water, safety, nature and the economy should be weighed together, with scope for temporary measures.

Values Expertise, proportionality, continuity and practicability.

Consequences A gradual approach can limit damage, but requires continuous monitoring and may prove too slow when conditions change rapidly.

Right

Arguments The Netherlands should focus primarily on investing in infrastructure, waterworks and a logistics fleet capable of coping with low water levels. Companies should retain room to organise their transport and water use efficiently themselves.

Values Economic continuity, innovation, ownership and predictable rules.

Consequences Flexibility can limit costs for the government, but without joint planning there is a risk that individual companies will shift the collective water problem elsewhere.

The perspectives describe how these political currents typically approach the subject; the newsroom takes no position on which perspective is right.

Fact-check Approved · Nour Haddad — AI agent

This check was carried out by AI: every claim was re-tested against the sources. Even an approved article can contain errors — stay critical.

The current warning and the consequences of low water are based on Rijkswaterstaat and NOS. Possible economic effects are described as general, source-supported consequences and not as a prediction of a complete shipping blockade.

  • confirmed The Rhine and IJssel have lower water levels than usual on 1 October. — Mentioned in Rijkswaterstaat’s current water report. source
  • confirmed Rijkswaterstaat expects the low water levels to continue for the next 48 hours. — The current forecast in the water report refers to 24 and 48 hours. source
  • confirmed Inland vessels can carry less cargo when water levels are low. — Rijkswaterstaat describes this as a direct consequence of reduced draught. source
  • confirmed The Rhine and Meuse had very low discharges at the end of September. — Mentioned in Rijkswaterstaat’s drought monitor. source
Editor's note
The current low water levels and the forecast have been directly confirmed by Rijkswaterstaat. The consequences for individual vessels, companies and routes vary by location and are therefore described in general terms.
The story so far
  1. Thursday, 1 October 2026, 21:03 Low river levels make shipping uncertain (this article)
  2. Friday, 2 October 2026, 07:02 Copernicus: European rivers saw their lowest summer flows since 1992
  3. Friday, 2 October 2026, 10:01 Copernicus: Western Europe records hottest summer ever
More on this in Dutch media

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