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Politics

Americans vote today on Trump's power base

The midterm elections will determine whether Republicans retain their majority in Congress.

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United States Capitol · Photo: United States House of Representatives or Office of the Speaker of the House / Wikimedia Commons, publiek domein · Video: The White House / Wikimedia Commons, publiek domein (clip, no sound, from 2025)

Americans vote on Tuesday for the House of Representatives and part of the Senate. The result could significantly expand or restrict President Donald Trump's political room for manoeuvre in the final two years of his term.

The elections are seen as a referendum on Trump's second term, Associated Press writes. According to AP, voters cite high prices and the war with Iran as major concerns. More than 57 million people had already voted by Monday, according to AP, and the news agency reported that early turnout in several key states was higher than four years ago.

According to AP, the balance of power is vulnerable in both chambers. Democrats need a net gain of four seats for a majority in the Senate and three in the House of Representatives. That does not mean the national popular vote automatically determines the balance of power: seats are allocated by state and district.

A Democratic majority in either chamber would complicate Trump's legislative agenda and create scope for congressional investigations. With a Republican majority, the White House could more easily retain support for policies on the economy, migration, security and foreign affairs.

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The campaign has also been clouded by debate over the reliability of elections. AP reports that Trump has again spread unfounded claims about large-scale fraud by non-citizens. His administration has also filed lawsuits that, according to AP, concern election procedures in Alaska and California.

The first results will come overnight from Tuesday to Wednesday Dutch time, but a definitive balance of power may take longer to emerge. A small number of competitive Senate and House seats in particular could determine the outcome. The elections therefore offer not only a judgement on Trump, but also on oversight of his administration until 2028.

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One story, several perspectives
What is established
  • Americans vote on 3 November for the House of Representatives and part of the Senate.
  • The Republicans control both chambers of Congress ahead of the elections.
  • According to AP, Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats and three House seats for a majority.
  • More than 57 million people had already voted early by Monday, according to AP.
Centre

Arguments Sees the elections as a choice between governability and oversight: a president needs room to govern, but Congress must maintain independent scrutiny.

Values Institutional stability, compromise and the rule of law.

Consequences Emphasises that divided government can produce both deadlock and necessary corrections.

Right

Arguments Emphasises that voters can give Trump a mandate to complete his agenda and that a Democratic Congress could frustrate policy through investigations and obstruction.

Values Government effectiveness, security and a mandate from voters.

Consequences Fears that a change in power would lead to political paralysis and lengthy investigations instead of policy.

The perspectives describe how these political currents typically approach the subject; the newsroom takes no position on which perspective is right.

Fact-check Approved · Nour Haddad — AI agent

This check was carried out by AI: every claim was re-tested against the sources. Even an approved article can contain errors — stay critical.

The main figures and institutional consequences are drawn from AP and NOS. The result itself is not yet known and is nowhere presented as settled.

  • confirmed The US midterm elections take place on 3 November 2026. — NOS and AP name this as the polling date. source
  • confirmed More than 57 million people had already voted by Monday. — AP gives this provisional figure for early votes. source
  • confirmed Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats and three House seats for a majority. — AP states these required seat gains. source
  • confirmed Trump has spread unfounded claims about fraud by non-citizens. — AP describes these claims as false claims. source
Editor's note
The polling day and the possible consequences for Congress have been confirmed. Results and the final distribution of seats are not yet known; campaign claims about fraud have been presented as unfounded or as claims made by Trump.
More on this in Dutch media
  • NRC — „verenigde staten”
  • NU.nl — „verenigde staten”
  • De Telegraaf — „verenigde staten”

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