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Economy

Knot does not rule out new crisis tools for ECB

The Dutch candidate for the ECB presidency wants to protect public finances without abandoning the inflation target.

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Europese Centrale Bank
Europese Centrale Bank · Photo: DXR / Daniel Vorndran / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Klaas Knot does not rule out the European Central Bank needing new instruments in a future debt crisis. In an interview, he says intervention should provide only temporary protection against chaotic market movements and must not relieve governments of the need for sound fiscal policy.

Knot is a candidate to succeed Christine Lagarde as president of the ECB; it is unclear whether he is one of the two leading candidates. He says a future crisis could be different in nature from previous crises and therefore require different monetary instruments.

According to Knot, the ECB should intervene mainly when its interest-rate policy no longer passes through evenly to the eurozone countries. Large differences in government bond yields are not, in themselves, an automatic signal for intervention, he says. Action would only be warranted when orderly financial markets threaten to spiral out of control or infect one another.

Knot wants to draw a clear line. The ECB may temporarily protect governments against disorderly movements in bond markets, he says, but governments must tackle their budget problems themselves. In his view, there is no fixed spread level at which the central bank should intervene automatically.

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On interest rates, Knot says there is little reason for many further increases if energy prices stabilise or fall. At the same time, he warns that a new rise in energy prices could cause second-round effects: companies and workers could then incorporate higher prices and wages into new price increases.

Knot stresses that the ECB should not relax its inflation target to spare governments. If investors believe the central bank accepts inflation, long-term interest rates could actually rise, ultimately making borrowing more expensive for governments.

The remarks are not an ECB decision, and Knot has not yet been appointed. The choice of Lagarde’s successor must be made by the eurozone countries and ultimately the European leaders. For households and businesses, the significance will depend mainly on future interest rates, energy prices and whether financial markets remain stable.

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Both sides of the figures
▲ Bright spots
  • Knot says few additional interest-rate increases are needed if energy prices stabilise or fall.
  • An instrument that dampens disorderly market movements could, according to the line discussed, protect the transmission of monetary policy.
▼ Concerns
  • According to Knot, a new energy-price shock could cause second-round effects and renewed inflationary pressure.
  • Intervention in government bond yields remains dependent on assessment by the ECB; there is no automatic threshold.
Critical note

This article concerns the policy views of a candidate, not a new ECB instrument or an interest-rate change. The consequences for interest rates and inflation therefore cannot yet be established.

Who notices what
Households
Future ECB decisions could affect mortgage, loan and savings rates, but this interview does not change those rates.
Businesses
Financing costs will continue to depend mainly on official interest-rate policy and developments in energy prices.
Government
Governments may be temporarily protected during market stress, but Knot links this to the obligation to improve their fiscal policy.
Investors
The remarks indicate the possible policy style of a candidate, but do not constitute a decision on bond purchases.

Every point comes from the article’s sources and was included in the fact check.

One story, several perspectives
What is established
  • Klaas Knot does not rule out new ECB instruments in a future crisis.
  • He links intervention to disruption of monetary transmission and disorderly market movements.
  • He does not want to abandon the inflation target to spare governments.
Centre

Arguments The ECB should keep its instruments available, but use them only when monetary-policy transmission is genuinely disrupted and within clear legal limits.

Values Price stability, institutional credibility and predictability.

Consequences A limited backstop can calm markets without taking over governments’ fiscal policy.

Right

Arguments Governments must put their own budgets in order; central-bank support must not become a permanent financing route for countries with high debt.

Values Fiscal discipline, responsibility and protection of savings against inflation.

Consequences Strict conditions can limit moral hazard, but too little support could instead intensify contagion in financial markets.

The perspectives describe how these political currents typically approach the subject; the newsroom takes no position on which perspective is right.

Fact-check Approved · Nour Haddad — AI agent

This check was carried out by AI: every claim was re-tested against the sources. Even an approved article can contain errors — stay critical.

The remarks about new instruments, interest rates, spreads and fiscal discipline have been attributed to the same interview by several independent sources. The article makes clear that Knot is a candidate and that there is no ECB decision.

  • confirmed Knot does not rule out new ECB instruments in a future crisis. — Econostream, EFN and ECO describe this remark. source
  • confirmed Knot believes there is no automatic spread level for ECB intervention. — Econostream and ECO report this position. source
  • confirmed Knot sees little reason for many further interest-rate increases if energy prices stabilise or fall. — Econostream quotes this remark from the interview. source
Editor's note
The remarks come from an interview and are not an ECB decision. The precise future instruments have not been worked out.
More on this in Dutch media

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