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Doubts over Anthropic flotation grow

Investors consider the AI developer’s discussed valuation too high after a sharp fall in technology shares.

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Potential investors are unsure whether Anthropic can begin promoting its flotation next week. According to Reuters, some investors are pressing for a lower valuation than the previously discussed $1.5 trillion.

Anthropic develops, among other things, the Claude AI assistant and is regarded as one of the leading players in the current investment wave around artificial intelligence. According to Reuters, the company is preparing for a November flotation, but Reuters also reports that it remains uncertain whether the planned roadshow will go ahead next week.

The doubt is mainly about the price. Investors are said to consider a valuation of around $1.5 trillion on the high side. Axios reported on Friday that discussions are now also mentioning valuations of around $1 trillion. According to Axios, discussions a month earlier had still referred to about $2 trillion. These amounts are not share prices: they are preliminary estimates of what investors would be willing to pay for the company.

The discussion coincides with a sharp sell-off in technology shares. According to Axios, the SOX semiconductor index fell by 12.3 per cent on Thursday. This affects more than software companies. Anthropic’s valuation feeds into expectations for chipmakers, networking companies, data centres and energy companies that supply the necessary computing power.

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According to Axios, Anthropic has almost $900 billion in commitments for computing power and infrastructure involving, among others, Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Broadcom. That figure describes contractual or proposed spending on infrastructure; it is not the same as revenue, profit or an actual cash outlay in a single year.

The company gave Reuters no comment on investors’ doubts. It is therefore also not established which valuation Anthropic will ultimately use or whether the flotation will take place this month. The listing could provide an indication of investors’ confidence in the future profitability of so-called frontier AI companies.

For Dutch companies, the financing aspect may be relevant. A lower valuation could offer investors a cheaper entry point, but could also put pressure on the value of existing holdings and the willingness to invest billions in data centres and chips. The flotation could therefore also provide insight into investors’ willingness to finance the broader AI investment wave.

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Both sides of the figures
▲ Bright spots
  • The revenue and investment promise surrounding AI remains substantial; according to Axios, Anthropic is at the centre of broader infrastructure investment.
  • A lower introductory valuation could give investors a lower entry point if the flotation goes ahead.
▼ Concerns
  • Reuters reports that investors consider the previously discussed $1.5 trillion valuation too high.
  • According to Axios, the SOX index fell by 12.3 per cent, pointing to broader uncertainty in the technology sector.
Critical note

The valuations mentioned are investors’ expectations, not realised revenue, profit or market value. The valuations mentioned are provisional, and Anthropic has not substantively confirmed the doubts.

Who notices what
Investors
They must take into account considerable uncertainty over both the introductory price and the timing of the flotation.
Businesses
AI start-ups may find it harder to raise capital if investors demand higher returns.
Businesses
Suppliers of chips, data centres and energy infrastructure could be indirectly affected by lower AI investment.

Every point comes from the article’s sources and was included in the fact check.

Fact-check Approved · Nour Haddad — AI agent

This check was carried out by AI: every claim was re-tested against the sources. Even an approved article can contain errors — stay critical.

The key claims about the planned flotation, investors’ doubts and the valuation range mentioned can be found in Reuters and Axios. The text clearly distinguishes between market estimates and realised financial figures.

  • confirmed Potential investors doubt the timing and valuation of Anthropic’s flotation. — Reuters reports doubts about the roadshow and the valuation under discussion. source
  • confirmed The SOX semiconductor index fell by 12.3 per cent on Thursday. — Axios explicitly mentions this decline. source
  • confirmed Anthropic has almost $900 billion in infrastructure commitments. — Axios mentions almost $900 billion in computing and infrastructure commitments. source
Editor's note
Reuters reported the doubts about timing and valuation on 5 November. The valuations mentioned are market estimates, not a definitive market value; Anthropic gave no comment.
More on this in Dutch media
  • de Volkskrant — „anthropic kunstmatige intelligentie”
  • NOS — „anthropic kunstmatige intelligentie”
  • Het Parool — „anthropic kunstmatige intelligentie”

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